York travel to Spotland Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 14 November (16:00 WAT) to face Rochdale. Rochdale are 20th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while York sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Rochdale's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Fleetwood Town 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 3.2 conceded.
York's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Bradford 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
York arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.4 for Rochdale and 1.9 for York. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rochdale 25%, draw 20%, York 54%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.62.
Prediction
Our pick: Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rochdale 1–1 York. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rochdale25%fair 3.95 · @4.10
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.00
York54%fair 1.84 · @1.70
3.34Expected goals
1.41Rochdale xG
1.93York xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–27%
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.4 – 1.9 York expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Rochdale
York
Attack vs League Two average
-3%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
+43%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.67
2.02
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win
54%
1.84
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.50
Half-time result
York ahead at half-time
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.76
–
Form
Rochdale – last 6
DLLLDL
7 Nov
@ Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
3 Nov
vs Doncaster
1–4
L
31 Oct
@ Port Vale
2–4
L
24 Oct
vs Accrington ST
0–5
L
20 Oct
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ Crewe
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
York – last 6
LWLLWD
10 Nov
@ Bradford
0–4
L
7 Nov
vs Northampton
4–0
W
31 Oct
@ Grimsby
2–5
L
27 Oct
@ Barnet
1–3
L
24 Oct
vs Port Vale
2–0
W
20 Oct
vs Accrington ST
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and York.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Rochdale vs York?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 20% and York 54%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs York?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs York?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–1 York, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs York?
Rochdale vs York (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Spotland Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
