The League Two sees Crewe take on Newport County on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Alexandra Stadium. Crewe are 4th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Newport County sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Crewe's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Wigan 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Newport County's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Walsall 3–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Crewe and 1.1 for Newport County. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crewe 49%, draw 25%, Newport County 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Prediction
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Crewe 1–1 Newport County. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crewe49%fair 2.04 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.40
Newport County26%fair 3.84 · @3.50
2.55Expected goals
1.44Crewe xG
1.11Newport County xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Crewe 1.4 – 1.1 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Crewe
Newport County
Attack vs League Two average
-10%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.13
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win
49%
2.04
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.14
–
Form
Crewe – last 6
LWDLLW
10 Nov
vs Wigan
1–2
L
7 Nov
vs AFC Wimbledon
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Barnet
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Chesterfield
1–5
L
20 Oct
@ Exeter City
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Rochdale
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
WLWLDD
7 Nov
vs Walsall
3–1
W
3 Nov
vs Crystal Palace U21
1–2
L
30 Oct
vs Chesterfield
4–1
W
24 Oct
@ Cheltenham
0–1
L
20 Oct
@ Rotherham
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs York
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Newport County.
What is the prediction for Crewe vs Newport County?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Crewe vs Newport County?
On our numbers Crewe have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newport County 26%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Newport County?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Newport County?
Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Crewe vs Newport County?
Crewe vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
