Value bet: Colchester to win @ 3.70 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthampton to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.73
Northampton vs Colchester preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Northampton take on Colchester on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Sixfields Stadium. Northampton are 21st with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Colchester sit 23rd on 12 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Northampton's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Tranmere 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Colchester's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Chesterfield 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Northampton and 0.7 for Colchester. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Colchester to win at 3.70 – 29% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Northampton 1–0 Colchester. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Northampton49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.20
Colchester29%fair 3.48 · @3.70
1.86Expected goals
1.12Northampton xG
0.74Colchester xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Northampton 1.1 – 0.7 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✓
49%
2.03
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Northampton / FT Northampton✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.73
–
Form
Northampton – last 6
LWDLLL
20 Oct
vs Tranmere
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Grimsby
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ York
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Rotherham
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Colchester – last 6
DDLDDL
20 Oct
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Exeter City
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Newport County
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Luton
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Peterborough
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Colchester.
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Colchester?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Northampton vs Colchester?
On our numbers Northampton have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colchester 29%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Colchester?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Colchester?
Our predicted score is Northampton 1–0 Colchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Northampton vs Colchester?
Northampton vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
