League Two · England · SMH Group StadiumChesterfield vs Crewe prediction & analysis
Chesterfield to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.8 – 0.7 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Chesterfield are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 17% for Crewe.
Chesterfield have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Crewe have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Crewe come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Chesterfield, 0.7 for Crewe). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Chesterfield to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chesterfield to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Chesterfield or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Chesterfield ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✓ | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.84 | – |
Form
Chesterfield – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Colchester | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Port Vale | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Crawley Town | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Tranmere | 4–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Cheltenham | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Port Vale | 1–1 | D |
Crewe – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Exeter City | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Rochdale | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Swindon Town | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | @ Blackpool | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Bristol Rovers | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Rotherham | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Crewe.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Crewe?
Our pick is Chesterfield to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Crewe?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Crewe 17%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Chesterfield vs Crewe?
Chesterfield vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.