Cheltenham vs Newport County prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCheltenham to win ✓39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Cheltenham vs Newport County preview and prediction
The match
Newport County travel to Whaddon Road in the League Two on Saturday 24 October (12:30 WAT) to face Cheltenham. Cheltenham are 5th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Newport County sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cheltenham's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Fleetwood Town 4–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Newport County's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Rotherham 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Newport County arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Cheltenham and 1.5 for Newport County. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cheltenham 39%, draw 24%, Newport County 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cheltenham 1–1 Newport County. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cheltenham39%fair 2.57 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Newport County37%fair 2.70 · @2.62
3.08Expected goals
1.56Cheltenham xG
1.52Newport County xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cheltenham 1.6 – 1.5 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cheltenham to win✓
39%
2.57
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cheltenham / FT Cheltenham✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Form
Cheltenham – last 6
WLDLLW
20 Oct
vs Fleetwood Town
4–2
W
17 Oct
@ Oldham
1–4
L
13 Oct
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Salford City
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Accrington ST
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Chesterfield
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
DDWDDW
20 Oct
@ Rotherham
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs York
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Colchester
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Plymouth
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Gillingham
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cheltenham and Newport County.
What is the prediction for Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Newport County?
On our numbers Cheltenham have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Newport County 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs Newport County?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Our predicted score is Cheltenham 1–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Cheltenham vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Whaddon Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
