League Two · England · Priestfield StadiumGillingham vs Grimsby prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.2 – 1.4 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Grimsby shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 35% for Gillingham.
Gillingham have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Grimsby have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Gillingham come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Gillingham, 1.4 for Grimsby). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.75. For a bigger price, Gillingham to win at 3.20 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Grimsby to win ✓ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby ✗ | 24% | 4.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.28 | – |
Form
Gillingham – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Port Vale | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Accrington ST | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Brighton U21 | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Rotherham | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Newport County | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ York | 0–3 | L |
Grimsby – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Rochdale | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Northampton | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Port Vale | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Burton Albion | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Shrewsbury | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Newport County | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Grimsby.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grimsby 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Gillingham vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.