Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultExeter City to win ✓46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.81
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town preview and prediction
The match
Fleetwood Town travel to St James Park in the League Two on Saturday 24 October (15:00 WAT) to face Exeter City. Exeter City are 12th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Fleetwood Town sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Exeter City's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Crewe 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fleetwood Town's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Cheltenham 2–4 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Exeter City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Exeter City and 0.8 for Fleetwood Town. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Exeter City 46%, draw 22%, Fleetwood Town 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Exeter City to win at 2.40 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Exeter City 1–1 Fleetwood Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Exeter City46%fair 2.16 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Fleetwood Town31%fair 3.19 · @2.90
1.79Expected goals
1.03Exeter City xG
0.76Fleetwood Town xG
52%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.0 – 0.8 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Exeter City to win✓
46%
2.16
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.81
–
Form
Exeter City – last 6
WDWDWL
20 Oct
vs Crewe
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Colchester
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Shrewsbury
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Oxford United
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town – last 6
LWDWLL
20 Oct
@ Cheltenham
2–4
L
17 Oct
vs Rotherham
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Walsall
1–1
D
6 Oct
vs Barnsley
4–1
W
3 Oct
@ Salford City
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Rochdale
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Fleetwood Town.
What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fleetwood Town 31%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–1 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
