League Two · England · Spotland StadiumRochdale vs Accrington ST prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.4 – 1.3 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Rochdale and Accrington ST on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Rochdale have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Accrington ST have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Rochdale, 1.3 for Accrington ST). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.75.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rochdale to win ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rochdale / FT Rochdale ✗ | 23% | 4.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.79 | – |
Form
Rochdale – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Grimsby | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Crewe | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Tranmere | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Huddersfield | 0–5 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Swindon Town | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Fleetwood Town | 2–1 | W |
Accrington ST – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ York | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Gillingham | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Oldham | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Oct | vs Salford City | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Cheltenham | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Swindon Town | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Accrington ST.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Accrington ST 36%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Rochdale vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spotland Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.