League Two · England · Memorial StadiumBristol Rovers vs Swindon Town prediction & analysis
Bristol Rovers to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 1.8 – 0.9 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bristol Rovers are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 19% for Swindon Town.
Bristol Rovers have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Swindon Town have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for Bristol Rovers, 0.9 for Swindon Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Bristol Rovers have won 0, Swindon Town have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Bristol Rovers to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.64.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bristol Rovers to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Bristol Rovers or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Bristol Rovers ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers ✗ | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.22 | – |
Form
Bristol Rovers – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Salford City | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Shrewsbury | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Barnet | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Oct | @ Wycombe | 1–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Crewe | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Exeter City | 1–0 | W |
Swindon Town – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Barnet | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Walsall | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Crewe | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Rochdale | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Accrington ST | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Newport County | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 28 Feb 2026 | Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers | 1–1 |
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Bristol Rovers to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Swindon Town 19%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town?
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.