Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultYork to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.99
Newport County vs York preview and prediction
The match
York travel to Rodney Parade in the League Two on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT) to face Newport County. Newport County are 14th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while York sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Newport County's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Colchester 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
York's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Northampton 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Newport County arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Newport County and 1.8 for York. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newport County 25%, draw 14%, York 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was York to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newport County 0–1 York. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newport County25%fair 4.03 · @3.50
Draw14%fair 7.33 · @3.50
York62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
2.79Expected goals
0.98Newport County xG
1.81York xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
0–36%
From our goals model: Newport County 1.0 – 1.8 York expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win✗
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.16
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
York ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.99
–
Form
Newport County – last 6
WDDWWD
10 Oct
vs Colchester
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Plymouth
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Gillingham
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Swindon Town
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Accrington ST
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
York – last 6
DWDLLW
10 Oct
vs Northampton
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Gillingham
3–0
W
22 Sep
vs Rotherham
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Chesterfield
0–2
L
15 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Swindon Town
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport County and York.
What is the prediction for Newport County vs York?
Our pick is York to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Newport County vs York?
On our numbers Newport County have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 14% and York 62%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs York?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs York?
Our predicted score is Newport County 0–1 York, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newport County vs York?
Newport County vs York (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
