League Two · England · Vale ParkPort Vale vs Chesterfield prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.2 – 1.2 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Port Vale and Chesterfield on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Port Vale have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.7 per game. Chesterfield have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Port Vale, 1.2 for Chesterfield). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Port Vale have won 0, Chesterfield have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.66.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chesterfield to win ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.38 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✗ | 21% | 4.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.25 | – |
Form
Port Vale – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Grimsby | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Mansfield Town | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Chesterfield | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Walsall | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Exeter City | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Salford City | 0–1 | L |
Chesterfield – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Crawley Town | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Tranmere | 4–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Cheltenham | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Port Vale | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs York | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Manchester City U21 | 5–3 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Sep 2026 | Chesterfield v Port Vale | 1–1 |
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chesterfield 39%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
Port Vale vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.