League Two · England · New MeadowShrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Shrewsbury to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 1.4 – 1.4 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Shrewsbury and Bristol Rovers on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Shrewsbury have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Bristol Rovers have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Shrewsbury, 1.4 for Bristol Rovers). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Shrewsbury have won 0, Bristol Rovers have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.74. For a bigger price, Shrewsbury to win at 3.00 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bristol Rovers to win ✗ | 39% | 2.60 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers ✗ | 22% | 4.51 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.62 | – |
Form
Shrewsbury – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Exeter City | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Stockport County | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Grimsby | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Colchester | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | @ Tranmere | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Crewe | 1–1 | D |
Bristol Rovers – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Barnet | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Oct | @ Wycombe | 1–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Crewe | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Exeter City | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Gillingham | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Grimsby | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 17 Mar 2026 | Bristol Rovers v Shrewsbury | 1–0 |
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bristol Rovers 39%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers?
Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at New Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.