Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColchester to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Colchester vs Exeter City preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Colchester take on Exeter City on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Colchester are 23rd with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Exeter City sit 12th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Colchester's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Newport County 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Exeter City's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Shrewsbury 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Exeter City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Colchester and 0.9 for Exeter City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colchester 40%, draw 24%, Exeter City 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Exeter City to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Colchester 1–1 Exeter City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colchester40%fair 2.52 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Exeter City36%fair 2.74 · @3.20
1.84Expected goals
0.95Colchester xG
0.89Exeter City xG
51%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Colchester 0.9 – 0.9 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win✗
40%
2.52
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.63
–
Form
Colchester – last 6
LDDLDD
10 Oct
@ Newport County
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Luton
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Peterborough
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Cheltenham
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Exeter City – last 6
WDWLDD
10 Oct
@ Shrewsbury
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Oxford United
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Rotherham
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Tranmere
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Exeter City.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Exeter City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Colchester vs Exeter City?
On our numbers Colchester have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Exeter City 36%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Exeter City?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Exeter City?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Exeter City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Exeter City?
Colchester vs Exeter City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
