Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGillingham to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Accrington ST vs Gillingham preview and prediction
The match
Accrington ST host Gillingham in the League Two on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Wham Stadium. Accrington ST are 9th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Gillingham sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Accrington ST's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Oldham 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gillingham's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Brighton U21 4–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Gillingham 2–0 Accrington ST.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Accrington ST and 1.3 for Gillingham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Accrington ST 38%, draw 23%, Gillingham 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Gillingham to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Accrington ST 1–1 Gillingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Accrington ST38%fair 2.66 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Gillingham39%fair 2.54 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.28Accrington ST xG
1.32Gillingham xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.3 – 1.3 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gillingham 39%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
Accrington ST vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
