Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRochdale to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.45
Rochdale vs Swindon Town preview and prediction
The match
Rochdale host Swindon Town in the League Two on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Spotland. Rochdale are 20th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Swindon Town sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Rochdale's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Fleetwood Town 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Swindon Town's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Accrington ST 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rochdale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Rochdale and 1.2 for Swindon Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rochdale 43%, draw 22%, Swindon Town 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Rochdale 1–1 Swindon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rochdale43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Swindon Town35%fair 2.86 · @2.90
2.56Expected goals
1.37Rochdale xG
1.19Swindon Town xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.4 – 1.2 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochdale to win✓
43%
2.31
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochdale / FT Rochdale✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.45
–
Form
Rochdale – last 6
WDWDLW
26 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
2–1
W
22 Sep
vs Liverpool U21
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Oldham
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Walsall
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Gillingham
1–4
L
1 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Swindon Town – last 6
DLLLLW
26 Sep
vs Accrington ST
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Newport County
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Salford City
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Crystal Palace U21
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ York
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Colchester
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Swindon Town 35%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–1 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
Rochdale vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spotland.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
