Value bet: Rotherham to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRotherham to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Exeter City vs Rotherham preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Exeter City take on Rotherham on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at St James Park. Exeter City are 12th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Rotherham sit 22nd on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Exeter City's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Bristol Rovers 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rotherham's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Crewe 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Exeter City and 1.1 for Rotherham. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Exeter City 35%, draw 24%, Rotherham 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Rotherham to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Exeter City 1–1 Rotherham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Exeter City35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.25
Rotherham41%fair 2.45 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
0.95Exeter City xG
1.05Rotherham xG
55%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Exeter City 0.9 – 1.1 Rotherham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotherham to win✗
41%
2.45
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Exeter City – last 6
LDDLWD
26 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Tranmere
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Walsall
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rotherham – last 6
DDWDLD
26 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
22 Sep
@ York
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Northampton
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Salford City
3–3
D
5 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Tranmere
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Rotherham.
What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Rotherham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Exeter City vs Rotherham?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rotherham 41%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Rotherham?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Rotherham?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–1 Rotherham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Rotherham?
Exeter City vs Rotherham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
