League Two · England · Blundell ParkGrimsby vs Shrewsbury prediction & analysis
Grimsby to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.8 – 0.7 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Grimsby are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 11% for Shrewsbury.
Grimsby have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Shrewsbury have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Grimsby, 0.7 for Shrewsbury). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Grimsby to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Grimsby to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Grimsby or draw ✗ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Grimsby ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby ✗ | 42% | 2.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.63 | – |
Form
Grimsby – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Newport County | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | @ Notts County | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Crawley Town | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Bristol Rovers | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Cheltenham | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Accrington ST | 2–2 | D |
Shrewsbury – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Colchester | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Sep | @ Tranmere | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Crewe | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Northampton | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Fleetwood Town | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Rochdale | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grimsby and Shrewsbury.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
Our pick is Grimsby to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shrewsbury 11%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
Grimsby vs Shrewsbury (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.