Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chesterfield to win @ 1.67 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesterfield to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Chesterfield vs Tranmere preview and prediction
The match
Tranmere travel to Proact Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 3 October (12:30 WAT) to face Chesterfield. Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Tranmere sit 11th on 19 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chesterfield's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Cheltenham 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Tranmere's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Walsall 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Chesterfield and 0.6 for Tranmere. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Chesterfield to win at 1.67 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chesterfield or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chesterfield 1–0 Tranmere. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesterfield67%fair 1.48 · @1.67
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @3.90
Tranmere14%fair 7.00 · @4.33
2.44Expected goals
1.81Chesterfield xG
0.63Tranmere xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.8 – 0.6 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
67%
1.48
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Chesterfield or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Chesterfield ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.35
–
Form
Chesterfield – last 6
LDWWWD
26 Sep
@ Cheltenham
1–2
L
22 Sep
vs Port Vale
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs York
2–0
W
15 Sep
vs Manchester City U21
5–3
W
12 Sep
@ Oldham
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Barnet
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tranmere – last 6
DWDLWD
26 Sep
vs Walsall
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Exeter City
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Gillingham
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Oldham
2–0
W
1 Sep
vs Rotherham
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Tranmere.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
Our pick is Chesterfield or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tranmere 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–0 Tranmere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
Chesterfield vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Proact Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
