Colchester host Port Vale in the League Two on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Colchester Community Stadium. Colchester are 23rd with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Port Vale sit 19th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Colchester's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Shrewsbury 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Port Vale's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Chesterfield 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Colchester and 1.2 for Port Vale. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colchester 40%, draw 24%, Port Vale 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.78.
Prediction
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Colchester 1–1 Port Vale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colchester40%fair 2.51 · @2.58
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.24
Port Vale36%fair 2.76 · @2.56
2.39Expected goals
1.23Colchester xG
1.16Port Vale xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.2 – 1.2 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win
40%
2.51
2.58
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.78
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
8.86
–
Form
Colchester – last 6
DLDDLL
26 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Peterborough
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Cheltenham
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
1 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
DLWLLD
22 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Walsall
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Salford City
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Crewe
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Colchester vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Colchester have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Port Vale 36%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Port Vale?
Colchester vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Colchester Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
