Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Cheltenham to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCheltenham to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham preview and prediction
The match
Cheltenham travel to The Crown Ground in the League Two on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT) to face Accrington ST. Accrington ST are 9th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Cheltenham sit 5th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Accrington ST's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Swindon Town 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cheltenham's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Chesterfield 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Cheltenham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Accrington ST and 1.7 for Cheltenham. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Accrington ST 38%, draw 23%, Cheltenham 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Cheltenham to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Accrington ST 1–1 Cheltenham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Accrington ST38%fair 2.66 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Cheltenham39%fair 2.54 · @2.80
3.31Expected goals
1.64Accrington ST xG
1.67Cheltenham xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.6 – 1.7 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cheltenham to win✗
39%
2.54
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cheltenham / FT Cheltenham✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.94
–
Form
Accrington ST – last 6
DDDLWD
26 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Sunderland U21
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Newport County
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Barnet
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Crawley Town
3–2
W
1 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cheltenham – last 6
WDDWDW
26 Sep
vs Chesterfield
2–1
W
22 Sep
vs Exeter City
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Colchester
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Crawley Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs York
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Cheltenham.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cheltenham 39%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Crown Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
