League Two · England · Priestfield StadiumGillingham vs Newport County prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.5 – 1.2 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gillingham hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 32% for Newport County.
Gillingham have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Newport County have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Gillingham, 1.2 for Newport County). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gillingham to win ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gillingham / FT Gillingham ✗ | 27% | 3.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.21 | – |
Form
Gillingham – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ York | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Cambridge United | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Bristol Rovers | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Tranmere | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Rochdale | 4–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | @ Chesterfield | 1–1 | D |
Newport County – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Grimsby | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Swindon Town | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Accrington ST | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Northampton | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Salford City | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Newport County.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Newport County?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gillingham vs Newport County?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newport County 32%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Newport County?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Gillingham vs Newport County?
Gillingham vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.