Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarnet to win ✗46% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Exeter City vs Barnet preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Exeter City take on Barnet on Tuesday 1 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at St James Park. Exeter City are 12th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Barnet sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Exeter City's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to York 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Barnet's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Cheltenham 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Barnet arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Exeter City and 1.6 for Barnet. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Exeter City 33%, draw 20%, Barnet 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Exeter City to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Exeter City 1–1 Barnet. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Exeter City33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
Barnet46%fair 2.16 · @2.06
2.97Expected goals
1.34Exeter City xG
1.63Barnet xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.3 – 1.6 Barnet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✗
46%
2.16
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnet / FT Barnet✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.94
–
Form
Exeter City – last 6
LWLLDL
29 Aug
@ York
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Accrington ST
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Grimsby
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Plymouth
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Bristol City
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Torquay
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barnet – last 6
DWWWLD
29 Aug
vs Cheltenham
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Shrewsbury
3–1
W
18 Aug
vs Arsenal U21
5–1
W
15 Aug
vs Salford City
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Bromley
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Barnet.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Exeter City vs Barnet?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Barnet 46%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Barnet?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Barnet?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–1 Barnet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Barnet?
Exeter City vs Barnet (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
