League Two · England · Whaddon RoadCheltenham vs York prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Cheltenham to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cheltenham 1.3 – 1.7 York expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
York shade it despite being away from home – 50% to win, against 30% for Cheltenham.
Cheltenham have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. York have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.3 for Cheltenham, 1.7 for York). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Cheltenham to win at 3.60 is our value angle (30% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | York to win ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | 1.96 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT York / FT York ✗ | 29% | 3.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.58 | – |
Form
Cheltenham – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Barnet | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Swindon Town | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Rotherham | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Charlton | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Milton Keynes Dons | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Evesham United | 3–0 | W |
York – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Exeter City | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Rotherham | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Bristol Rovers | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Aug | vs Crawley Town | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Jul | vs Peterborough | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jul | vs Al-Ettifaq | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cheltenham and York.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cheltenham vs York?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cheltenham vs York?
On our numbers Cheltenham have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and York 50%.
How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs York?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Cheltenham vs York?
Cheltenham vs York (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Whaddon Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.