League Two · England · Alexandra StadiumCrewe vs Walsall prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Walsall to win @ 3.10 – our chance 44% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Crewe 1.0 – 1.2 Walsall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Walsall shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 34% for Crewe.
Crewe have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Walsall have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.0 for Crewe, 1.2 for Walsall). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is better than our fair price of 1.30, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Walsall to win at 3.10 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Walsall to win ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | 3.10 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Walsall / FT Walsall ✗ | 23% | 4.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.32 | – |
Form
Crewe – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Port Vale | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | @ Barnsley | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Northampton | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Crawley Town | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Accrington ST | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Chester | 0–0 | D |
Walsall – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Accrington ST | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Leyton Orient | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Grimsby | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Gillingham | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Aug | @ Bristol City | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Notts County | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Walsall.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Crewe vs Walsall?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Crewe vs Walsall?
On our numbers Crewe have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Walsall 44%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Walsall?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Crewe vs Walsall?
Crewe vs Walsall (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.