Grimsby travel to The Wham Stadium in the League Two on Tuesday 1 September (19:45 WAT) to face Accrington ST. Accrington ST are 9th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Grimsby sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Accrington ST's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Walsall 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Grimsby's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Fleetwood Town 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grimsby arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Accrington ST and 1.6 for Grimsby. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Accrington ST 28%, draw 21%, Grimsby 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Accrington ST 1–1 Grimsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Accrington ST28%fair 3.61 · @3.65
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Grimsby52%fair 1.94 · @1.97
2.64Expected goals
1.06Accrington ST xG
1.58Grimsby xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.1 – 1.6 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✗
52%
1.94
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.88
–
Form
Accrington ST – last 6
LLDLDW
29 Aug
@ Walsall
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Exeter City
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Colchester
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Crewe
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Sheffield Wednesday
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Bury
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
DDWLWW
29 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Walsall
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Blackpool
1–3
L
4 Aug
vs Grimsby Borough
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Wigan
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Grimsby.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Grimsby?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grimsby 52%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Grimsby?
Accrington ST vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
