Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Oldham to win @ 1.94 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOldham to win ✓64% · @1.94
Double chanceOldham or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.95
Oldham vs Swindon Town preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Oldham take on Swindon Town on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Boundary Park. Oldham are 18th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Swindon Town sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Oldham's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Colchester 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Swindon Town's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Cheltenham 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Swindon Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Oldham and 0.6 for Swindon Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oldham 64%, draw 23%, Swindon Town 13%.
Safer route: Oldham or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Oldham to win at 1.94 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oldham or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Oldham 1–0 Swindon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oldham64%fair 1.56 · @1.94
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.45
Swindon Town13%fair 7.97 · @3.75
2.32Expected goals
1.72Oldham xG
0.61Swindon Town xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Oldham 1.7 – 0.6 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✓
64%
1.56
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Oldham or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Half-time result
Oldham ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oldham / FT Oldham✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.95
–
Form
Oldham – last 6
LWLWLL
22 Aug
@ Colchester
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Port Vale
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Stoke City
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Sheffield Wednesday
4–0
W
28 Jul
vs Stockport County
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs Bolton
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Swindon Town – last 6
WDLWWL
22 Aug
vs Cheltenham
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Northampton
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Cardiff
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Forest Green
4–1
W
28 Jul
vs Leyton Orient
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Bristol City
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Oldham vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Oldham or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oldham vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Oldham have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Swindon Town 13%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Oldham 1–0 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Swindon Town?
Oldham vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
