Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Northampton to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthampton to win ✗44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.06
Gillingham vs Northampton preview and prediction
The match
Northampton travel to Priestfield Stadium in the League Two on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT) to face Gillingham. Gillingham are 8th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Northampton sit 21st on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Gillingham's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Fleetwood Town 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Northampton's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Crewe 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Gillingham and 1.0 for Northampton. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Northampton to win at 2.62 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gillingham 0–0 Northampton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gillingham34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Northampton44%fair 2.27 · @2.62
1.78Expected goals
0.80Gillingham xG
0.98Northampton xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–117%
1–013%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Gillingham 0.8 – 1.0 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
44%
2.27
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.06
–
Form
Gillingham – last 6
DLLWWL
22 Aug
@ Fleetwood Town
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Walsall
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Luton
0–3
L
31 Jul
@ Ebbsfleet United
2–1
W
21 Jul
vs Millwall
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Charlton
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Northampton – last 6
LLDLWD
22 Aug
@ Crewe
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Brighton U21
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs Swindon Town
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Leicester
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Solihull Moors
4–2
W
28 Jul
@ Cambridge United
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Northampton.
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Northampton?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gillingham vs Northampton?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Northampton 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Northampton?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 0–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Northampton?
Gillingham vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
