Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Crawley Town to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol Rovers to win ✓41% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Crawley Town take on Bristol Rovers on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Broadfield Stadium. Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Bristol Rovers sit 17th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Crawley Town's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Rochdale 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bristol Rovers's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Chelsea U21 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Crawley Town and 1.8 for Bristol Rovers. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crawley Town 36%, draw 23%, Bristol Rovers 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Crawley Town to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Crawley Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crawley Town36%fair 2.79 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Bristol Rovers41%fair 2.43 · @2.12
3.45Expected goals
1.66Crawley Town xG
1.79Bristol Rovers xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.7 – 1.8 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✓
41%
2.43
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✓
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.84
–
Form
Crawley Town – last 6
WLLWLL
22 Aug
@ Rochdale
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Crewe
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Watford
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ York
2–0
W
31 Jul
vs Reading
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Oxford United
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers – last 6
DWLLDD
25 Aug
vs Chelsea U21
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Newport County
5–3
W
15 Aug
@ York
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Peterborough
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Forest Green
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers.
What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bristol Rovers 41%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
