Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTranmere to win ✗42% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Newport County vs Tranmere preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Newport County take on Tranmere on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Rodney Parade. Newport County are 14th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Tranmere sit 11th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Newport County's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Bristol Rovers 3–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Tranmere's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Port Vale 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Tranmere arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Newport County 3–1 Tranmere.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Newport County and 1.6 for Tranmere. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newport County 34%, draw 24%, Tranmere 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.38, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newport County 1–1 Tranmere. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newport County34%fair 2.93 · @2.64
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Tranmere42%fair 2.40 · @2.64
3.11Expected goals
1.47Newport County xG
1.64Tranmere xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Newport County 1.5 – 1.6 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newport County vs Tranmere?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Newport County vs Tranmere?
On our numbers Newport County have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tranmere 42%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Tranmere?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Tranmere?
Our predicted score is Newport County 1–1 Tranmere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Newport County vs Tranmere?
Newport County vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
