Value bet: Barnet to win @ 1.63 – our chance 68% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarnet to win ✗68% · @1.63
Double chanceBarnet or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.69
Barnet vs Cheltenham preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Barnet take on Cheltenham on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at The Hive Stadium. Barnet are 2nd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Cheltenham sit 5th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Barnet's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Shrewsbury 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Cheltenham's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Swindon Town 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Barnet arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Barnet and 0.8 for Cheltenham. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Barnet to win at 1.63 – 68% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Barnet 2–0 Cheltenham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barnet68%fair 1.48 · @1.63
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.80
Cheltenham10%fair 10.06 · @5.20
3.12Expected goals
2.28Barnet xG
0.84Cheltenham xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Barnet 2.3 – 0.8 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✗
68%
1.48
1.63 ▲
Double chance
Barnet or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.38
Half-time result
Barnet ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnet / FT Barnet✗
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.69
–
Form
Barnet – last 6
WWWLDD
22 Aug
@ Shrewsbury
3–1
W
18 Aug
vs Arsenal U21
5–1
W
15 Aug
vs Salford City
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Bromley
1–1
D
28 Jul
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cheltenham – last 6
LWLLWL
22 Aug
@ Swindon Town
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rotherham
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Charlton
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Evesham United
3–0
W
21 Apr
vs Tranmere
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnet and Cheltenham.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Barnet vs Cheltenham?
On our numbers Barnet have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cheltenham 10%.
How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Cheltenham?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barnet vs Cheltenham?
Our predicted score is Barnet 2–0 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Barnet vs Cheltenham?
Barnet vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Hive Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
