Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrimsby to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceGrimsby or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.87
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town preview and prediction
The match
Fleetwood Town travel to Blundell Park in the League Two on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT) to face Grimsby. Grimsby are 6th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Fleetwood Town sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Grimsby's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Walsall 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fleetwood Town's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Shrewsbury 4–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Grimsby 1–0 Fleetwood Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for Grimsby and 0.3 for Fleetwood Town. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grimsby 61%, draw 25%, Fleetwood Town 13%.
Safer route: Grimsby or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Grimsby or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Grimsby 1–0 Fleetwood Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grimsby61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.45
Fleetwood Town13%fair 7.45 · @3.90
1.53Expected goals
1.20Grimsby xG
0.34Fleetwood Town xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–026%
0–022%
2–015%
1–19%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.2 – 0.3 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Grimsby or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fleetwood Town 13%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–0 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town?
Grimsby vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
