Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Charlton to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlton to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.55
Watford vs Charlton preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Watford take on Charlton on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Vicarage Road. Watford are 20th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Charlton sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Watford's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Cardiff 1–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Charlton's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Burnley 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Watford and 1.3 for Charlton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Watford 37%, draw 24%, Charlton 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Charlton to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Watford 1–1 Charlton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Watford37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
Charlton39%fair 2.56 · @2.75
2.50Expected goals
1.22Watford xG
1.28Charlton xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Watford 1.2 – 1.3 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlton to win✗
39%
2.56
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlton / FT Charlton✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.55
–
Form
Watford – last 6
LLLLWL
13 Oct
@ Cardiff
1–5
L
10 Oct
vs Burnley
0–4
L
18 Sep
@ Bristol City
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Stoke City
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Preston
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ West Brom
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charlton – last 6
DDLDDL
13 Oct
@ Burnley
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Bristol City
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Cardiff
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Portsmouth
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs QPR
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Stoke City
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Watford and Charlton.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Watford vs Charlton?
On our numbers Watford have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Charlton 39%.
How many goals will there be in Watford vs Charlton?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Watford vs Charlton?
Our predicted score is Watford 1–1 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Watford vs Charlton?
Watford vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Vicarage Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
