Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Norwich to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorwich to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceNorwich or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Norwich vs Portsmouth preview and prediction
The match
Portsmouth travel to Carrow Road in the Championship on Saturday 17 October (15:00 WAT) to face Norwich. Norwich are 12th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Portsmouth sit 11th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Norwich's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Southampton 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Portsmouth's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Sheffield Utd 3–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Portsmouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Norwich and 1.1 for Portsmouth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Value angle: Norwich to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Norwich or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Norwich 2–1 Portsmouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Norwich61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Portsmouth18%fair 5.52 · @4.00
3.26Expected goals
2.15Norwich xG
1.11Portsmouth xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Norwich 2.2 – 1.1 Portsmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Norwich or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Norwich vs Portsmouth?
On our numbers Norwich have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portsmouth 18%.
How many goals will there be in Norwich vs Portsmouth?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Norwich vs Portsmouth?
Our predicted score is Norwich 2–1 Portsmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Norwich vs Portsmouth?
Norwich vs Portsmouth (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Carrow Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
