Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗64% · @1.55
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Middlesbrough take on Cardiff on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Riverside Stadium. Middlesbrough are 2nd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Cardiff sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Middlesbrough's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Stoke City 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Cardiff's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Watford 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Middlesbrough arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Middlesbrough and 1.0 for Cardiff. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Middlesbrough to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Middlesbrough 2–0 Cardiff. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Middlesbrough64%fair 1.57 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.60
Cardiff14%fair 7.36 · @4.80
3.25Expected goals
2.25Middlesbrough xG
1.00Cardiff xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Middlesbrough 2.3 – 1.0 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Double chance
Middlesbrough or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Middlesbrough ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Middlesbrough – last 6
WWDDWL
13 Oct
@ Stoke City
3–2
W
10 Oct
vs Wolves
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Birmingham
2–2
D
15 Sep
vs Millwall
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Norwich
4–3
W
8 Sep
@ Crystal Palace
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 6
WLWLDL
13 Oct
vs Watford
5–1
W
10 Oct
@ Blackburn
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Charlton
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bolton
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Stoke City
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Portsmouth
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough and Cardiff.
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
Our pick is Middlesbrough to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cardiff 14%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 2–0 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
