Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMillwall to win ✗66% · @1.57
Double chanceMillwall or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.26
Millwall vs Lincoln preview and prediction
The match
Millwall host Lincoln in the Championship on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at The Den. Millwall are 16th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Lincoln sit 21st on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Millwall's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Swansea 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lincoln's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to West Ham 0–6 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Millwall and 0.8 for Lincoln. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Millwall 66%, draw 19%, Lincoln 15%.
Safer route: Millwall or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Millwall to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Millwall 1–0 Lincoln. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millwall66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @4.00
Lincoln15%fair 6.64 · @5.00
2.80Expected goals
1.99Millwall xG
0.81Lincoln xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Millwall 2.0 – 0.8 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millwall to win✗
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
Millwall or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Millwall ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millwall / FT Millwall✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Millwall – last 6
LWDDLL
13 Oct
vs Swansea
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Preston
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs West Ham
2–2
D
15 Sep
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Blackburn
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Newcastle
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 6
LLLWWL
14 Oct
vs West Ham
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Sheffield Utd
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Swansea
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Preston
1–0
W
8 Sep
@ Bournemouth
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millwall and Lincoln.
Our pick is Millwall to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Millwall have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lincoln 15%.
How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Lincoln?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Millwall 1–0 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Millwall vs Lincoln?
Millwall vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Den.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
