Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBurnley to win ✓42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Watford vs Burnley preview and prediction
The match
Burnley travel to Vicarage Road in the Championship on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT) to face Watford. Watford are 20th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Burnley sit 22nd on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Watford's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Bristol City 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Burnley's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Derby 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Watford and 1.4 for Burnley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Watford 35%, draw 23%, Burnley 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Watford 1–1 Burnley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Watford35%fair 2.86 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Burnley42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
2.69Expected goals
1.27Watford xG
1.42Burnley xG
62%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Watford 1.3 – 1.4 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley to win✓
42%
2.38
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley / FT Burnley✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
Watford – last 6
LLWLLD
18 Sep
@ Bristol City
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Stoke City
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Preston
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ West Brom
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Swansea
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs West Ham
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
DLDLDL
19 Sep
vs Derby
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Swansea
1–3
L
8 Sep
@ Wrexham
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Bristol City
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Norwich
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Watford and Burnley.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Watford vs Burnley?
On our numbers Watford have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burnley 42%.
How many goals will there be in Watford vs Burnley?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Watford vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Watford 1–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Watford vs Burnley?
Watford vs Burnley (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vicarage Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
