Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Blackburn to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBlackburn to win ✓41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.50
Blackburn vs Cardiff preview and prediction
The match
Cardiff travel to Ewood Park in the Championship on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT) to face Blackburn. Blackburn are 13th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Cardiff sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Blackburn's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Portsmouth 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cardiff's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Charlton 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Blackburn and 1.4 for Cardiff. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Blackburn to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Blackburn 1–1 Cardiff. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blackburn41%fair 2.43 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Cardiff36%fair 2.77 · @2.38
2.88Expected goals
1.50Blackburn xG
1.38Cardiff xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Blackburn 1.5 – 1.4 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blackburn to win✓
41%
2.43
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blackburn / FT Blackburn✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.50
–
Form
Blackburn – last 6
DWLLDL
19 Sep
@ Portsmouth
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Millwall
3–1
W
8 Sep
vs Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Preston
1–2
L
1 Sep
@ Lincoln
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs QPR
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 6
WLDLLD
19 Sep
vs Charlton
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bolton
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Stoke City
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Portsmouth
0–2
L
2 Sep
@ QPR
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackburn and Cardiff.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Blackburn vs Cardiff?
On our numbers Blackburn have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cardiff 36%.
How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Cardiff?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Blackburn vs Cardiff?
Blackburn vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
