Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStoke City to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.52
Bolton vs Stoke City preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Bolton take on Stoke City on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Toughsheet Community Stadium. Bolton are 18th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Stoke City sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bolton's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Norwich 4–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Stoke City's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Sheffield Utd 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Stoke City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Bolton and 1.7 for Stoke City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bolton 35%, draw 24%, Stoke City 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bolton 1–1 Stoke City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bolton35%fair 2.84 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.25
Stoke City41%fair 2.45 · @2.50
3.19Expected goals
1.53Bolton xG
1.66Stoke City xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Bolton 1.5 – 1.7 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✓
41%
2.45
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✓
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.52
–
Form
Bolton – last 6
WWLLLL
20 Sep
@ Norwich
4–3
W
12 Sep
vs Cardiff
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs West Ham
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Millwall
0–4
L
1 Sep
@ Sheffield Utd
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Lincoln
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stoke City – last 6
WWDWWL
19 Sep
vs Sheffield Utd
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Watford
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Cardiff
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Charlton
4–0
W
1 Sep
vs Norwich
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Wolves
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolton and Stoke City.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Bolton vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Bolton have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stoke City 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bolton vs Stoke City?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Stoke City?
Our predicted score is Bolton 1–1 Stoke City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bolton vs Stoke City?
Bolton vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
