The Championship sees West Brom take on Birmingham on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at The Hawthorns. West Brom are 5th with 28 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Birmingham sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
West Brom's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Wolves 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Birmingham's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Middlesbrough 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for West Brom and 1.3 for Birmingham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: West Brom 38%, draw 25%, Birmingham 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: West Brom 1–1 Birmingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
West Brom38%fair 2.60 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Birmingham37%fair 2.70 · @2.80
2.56Expected goals
1.30West Brom xG
1.26Birmingham xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: West Brom 1.3 – 1.3 Birmingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
West Brom to win✗
38%
2.60
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT West Brom / FT West Brom✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.98
–
Form
West Brom – last 6
LDWWDL
20 Sep
@ Wolves
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs QPR
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Derby
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Watford
1–0
W
2 Sep
vs Charlton
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Birmingham – last 6
DWLDDW
19 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Derby
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Norwich
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Wolves
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs Southampton
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Wrexham
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between West Brom and Birmingham.
What is the prediction for West Brom vs Birmingham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win West Brom vs Birmingham?
On our numbers West Brom have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Birmingham 37%.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Birmingham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Birmingham?
Our predicted score is West Brom 1–1 Birmingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is West Brom vs Birmingham?
West Brom vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
