Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSwansea to win ✓46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.06
Swansea vs Norwich preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Swansea take on Norwich on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Swansea.com Stadium. Swansea are 6th with 26 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Norwich sit 12th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Swansea's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Lincoln 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Norwich's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Bolton 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Swansea arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.8 for Swansea and 1.5 for Norwich. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Swansea 46%, draw 22%, Norwich 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Swansea 1–1 Norwich. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Swansea46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Norwich32%fair 3.08 · @2.90
3.25Expected goals
1.78Swansea xG
1.47Norwich xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Swansea 1.8 – 1.5 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swansea to win✓
46%
2.18
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swansea / FT Swansea✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.06
–
Form
Swansea – last 6
WWLDWW
19 Sep
@ Lincoln
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Burnley
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Southampton
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Wrexham
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Watford
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derby
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Norwich – last 6
LLLWWL
20 Sep
vs Bolton
3–4
L
17 Sep
@ Manchester City
0–5
L
12 Sep
@ Middlesbrough
3–4
L
9 Sep
vs Birmingham
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Sheffield Utd
3–1
W
1 Sep
@ Stoke City
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swansea and Norwich.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Swansea vs Norwich?
On our numbers Swansea have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norwich 32%.
How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Norwich?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Norwich?
Our predicted score is Swansea 1–1 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Swansea vs Norwich?
Swansea vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Swansea.com Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
