Preston vs Millwall prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Millwall to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Preston 1.5 – 1.8 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Millwall shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 34% for Preston.
Preston have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Millwall have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.5 for Preston, 1.8 for Millwall). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Millwall to win at 2.38 is our value angle (45% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Millwall to win ✓ | 45% | 2.25 | 2.38 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 37% | 2.68 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Millwall / FT Millwall ✗ | 27% | 3.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.27 | – |
Form
Preston – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ QPR | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Lincoln | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Watford | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Blackburn | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Bristol City | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Charlton | 0–1 | L |
Millwall – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs West Ham | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ Middlesbrough | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Blackburn | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Newcastle | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Bolton | 4–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Wrexham | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Preston and Millwall.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolves | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 | QPR | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham | 15 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 15 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton | 15 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton | 15 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley | 15 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 15 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston | 15 | -17 | 8 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Preston vs Millwall?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Preston vs Millwall?
On our numbers Preston have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Millwall 45%.
How many goals will there be in Preston vs Millwall?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Preston vs Millwall?
Preston vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.























