Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Stoke City take on Sheffield Utd on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at bet365 Stadium. Stoke City are 3rd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Sheffield Utd sit 10th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Stoke City's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Watford 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sheffield Utd's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Fleetwood Town 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Stoke City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Stoke City and 1.3 for Sheffield Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stoke City 41%, draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Stoke City 1–1 Sheffield Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stoke City41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Sheffield Utd35%fair 2.84 · @2.90
2.79Expected goals
1.46Stoke City xG
1.33Sheffield Utd xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.5 – 1.3 Sheffield Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✓
41%
2.45
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.17
–
Form
Stoke City – last 6
WDWWLD
12 Sep
@ Watford
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Cardiff
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Charlton
4–0
W
1 Sep
vs Norwich
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Wolves
1–4
L
25 Aug
vs Hull City
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sheffield Utd – last 6
LLWLWD
16 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Wolves
0–1
L
8 Sep
@ Blackburn
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Norwich
1–3
L
1 Sep
vs Bolton
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Cardiff
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Sheffield Utd.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sheffield Utd 35%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Sheffield Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd?
Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at bet365 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.