Value bet: Blackburn to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortsmouth to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Portsmouth vs Blackburn preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Portsmouth take on Blackburn on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Fratton Park. Portsmouth are 11th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Blackburn sit 13th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portsmouth's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Charlton 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Blackburn's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Millwall 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Portsmouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Blackburn 1–1 Portsmouth.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Portsmouth and 1.2 for Blackburn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Blackburn to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Portsmouth 1–1 Blackburn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portsmouth44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.25
Blackburn34%fair 2.93 · @3.30
2.69Expected goals
1.45Portsmouth xG
1.24Blackburn xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.5 – 1.2 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Blackburn 34%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Blackburn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Blackburn?
Portsmouth vs Blackburn (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
