Championship · England · Cardiff City StadiumCardiff vs Charlton prediction & analysis
Cardiff or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Cardiff to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cardiff 1.6 – 0.6 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cardiff are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Charlton.
Cardiff have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Charlton have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. Charlton come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.6 for Cardiff, 0.6 for Charlton). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (11%).
Our pick is Cardiff or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Cardiff to win at 1.75 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cardiff to win ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Cardiff or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff ✓ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.70 | – |
Form
Cardiff – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Bolton | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Stoke City | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Portsmouth | 0–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ QPR | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Sheffield Utd | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Norwich | 1–2 | L |
Charlton – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Portsmouth | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs QPR | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Stoke City | 0–4 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ West Brom | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Preston | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | @ Tottenham | 1–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and Charlton.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  Swansea | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |  QPR | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham | 15 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Cardiff | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 15 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 15 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 15 | -17 | 8 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cardiff vs Charlton?
Our pick is Cardiff or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cardiff vs Charlton?
On our numbers Cardiff have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charlton 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Charlton?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Cardiff vs Charlton?
Cardiff vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.