Championship · England · Racecourse GroundWrexham vs Southampton prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Value bet: Southampton to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Wrexham 1.4 – 1.8 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Southampton shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 31% for Wrexham.
Wrexham have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Southampton have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Southampton come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.4 for Wrexham, 1.8 for Southampton). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Wrexham have won 0, Southampton have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 6.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Southampton to win at 2.30 is our value angle (47% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Southampton to win ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | 2.30 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Southampton / FT Southampton ✗ | 28% | 3.51 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.79 | – |
Form
Wrexham – last 6
| 11 Sep | @ West Ham | 0–6 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Burnley | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Swansea | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Sep | @ Millwall | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Birmingham | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Watford | 1–1 | D |
Southampton – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Bristol City | 4–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Swansea | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Lincoln | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Birmingham | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Millwall | 5–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs West Ham | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
| 7 Apr 2026 | Wrexham v Southampton | 1–5 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  Swansea | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |  QPR | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham | 15 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Cardiff | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 15 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 15 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 15 | -17 | 8 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Southampton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Wrexham vs Southampton?
On our numbers Wrexham have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southampton 47%.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Southampton?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Wrexham vs Southampton?
Wrexham vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Racecourse Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.