Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham host Middlesbrough in the Championship on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at St. Andrew's Stadium. Birmingham are 1st with 29 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Middlesbrough sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Birmingham's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Derby 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Middlesbrough's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Millwall 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Middlesbrough arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished Birmingham 1–3 Middlesbrough.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Birmingham and 1.7 for Middlesbrough. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Birmingham 1–1 Middlesbrough. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham34%fair 2.91 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Middlesbrough45%fair 2.23 · @2.30
3.07Expected goals
1.41Birmingham xG
1.66Middlesbrough xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Birmingham 1.4 – 1.7 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers Birmingham have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Middlesbrough 45%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is Birmingham 1–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Birmingham vs Middlesbrough?
Birmingham vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Andrew's Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
