Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: West Ham to win @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWest Ham to win ✗66% · @1.80
Double chanceWest Ham or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Millwall vs West Ham preview and prediction
The match
West Ham travel to The Den in the Championship on Saturday 19 September (12:30 WAT) to face Millwall. Millwall are 16th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while West Ham sit 9th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Millwall's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Middlesbrough 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
West Ham's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Fulham 2–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
West Ham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.3 for Millwall and 2.7 for West Ham. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Millwall 15%, draw 19%, West Ham 66%.
Safer route: West Ham or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: West Ham to win at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was West Ham or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Millwall 1–2 West Ham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millwall15%fair 6.60 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.60
West Ham66%fair 1.52 · @1.80
3.93Expected goals
1.27Millwall xG
2.66West Ham xG
63%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Millwall 1.3 – 2.7 West Ham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
West Ham to win✗
66%
1.52
1.80 ▲
Double chance
West Ham or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
West Ham ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT West Ham / FT West Ham✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Form
Millwall – last 6
DLLWLL
15 Sep
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Blackburn
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Newcastle
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Bolton
4–0
W
2 Sep
vs Wrexham
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Southampton
1–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
West Ham – last 6
LWWWWD
15 Sep
vs Fulham
2–3
L
11 Sep
vs Wrexham
6–0
W
8 Sep
@ Bolton
3–2
W
5 Sep
vs Derby
3–0
W
1 Sep
vs Wolves
4–2
W
29 Aug
@ Watford
1–1
D
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millwall and West Ham.
Our pick is West Ham or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Millwall vs West Ham?
On our numbers Millwall have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and West Ham 66%.
How many goals will there be in Millwall vs West Ham?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs West Ham?
Our predicted score is Millwall 1–2 West Ham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Millwall vs West Ham?
Millwall vs West Ham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Den.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
