Wednesday, 11 November 2026 9 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Championship · England
4–1
FT

Southampton vs Bristol City prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Southampton to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSouthampton to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Southampton vs Bristol City preview and prediction

The match

The Championship sees Southampton take on Bristol City on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Southampton are 7th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Bristol City sit 17th on 18 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Southampton's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Swansea 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Bristol City's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Burnley 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Southampton 2–2 Bristol City.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Southampton and 1.0 for Bristol City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Southampton to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Southampton 2–1 Bristol City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Southampton65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.00
Bristol City12%fair 8.09 · @4.40
3.36Expected goals
2.35Southampton xG
1.01Bristol City xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Southampton 2.4 – 1.0 Bristol City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouthampton to win ✓65%1.531.67 ▲
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✓88%1.141.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Half-time resultSouthampton ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Southampton / FT Southampton ✓45%2.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Form

Southampton – last 6

WDDWLW
8 Sepvs Swansea3–1W
5 Sep@ Lincoln1–1D
1 Sep@ Birmingham1–1D
29 Augvs Millwall5–1W
25 Augvs West Ham1–4L
22 Augvs Stoke City3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bristol City – last 6

WWWDLL
5 Sep@ Burnley2–1W
1 Sep@ Preston3–1W
29 Augvs Portsmouth2–1W
22 Aug@ Birmingham2–2D
15 Augvs Millwall0–2L
6 Augvs Walsall0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Southampton v Bristol City2–2
Southampton vs Bristol City head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Southampton vs Bristol City?

Our pick is Southampton to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Southampton vs Bristol City?

On our numbers Southampton have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bristol City 12%.

How many goals will there be in Southampton vs Bristol City?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Bristol City?

Our predicted score is Southampton 2–1 Bristol City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Southampton vs Bristol City?

Southampton vs Bristol City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.