Value bet: Lincoln to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLincoln to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 10.00
Preston vs Lincoln preview and prediction
The match
Lincoln travel to Deepdale in the Championship on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT) to face Preston. Preston are 24th with 8 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Lincoln sit 21st on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Preston's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Watford 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lincoln's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Bournemouth 0–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lincoln arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Preston and 1.3 for Lincoln. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Preston 38%, draw 24%, Lincoln 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Lincoln to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Preston 1–1 Lincoln. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Preston38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
Lincoln38%fair 2.61 · @2.90
2.55Expected goals
1.27Preston xG
1.28Lincoln xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Preston 1.3 – 1.3 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lincoln to win✓
38%
2.61
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lincoln / FT Lincoln✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.00
–
Form
Preston – last 6
LWLLLL
8 Sep
@ Watford
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Blackburn
2–1
W
1 Sep
vs Bristol City
1–3
L
29 Aug
@ Charlton
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Everton
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Wolves
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 6
LDDWWL
8 Sep
@ Bournemouth
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Southampton
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Blackburn
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Bolton
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Blackpool
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Preston and Lincoln.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Preston vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Preston have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lincoln 38%.
How many goals will there be in Preston vs Lincoln?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Preston vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Preston 1–1 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Preston vs Lincoln?
Preston vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
