Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMillwall to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Blackburn vs Millwall preview and prediction
The match
Blackburn host Millwall in the Championship on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ewood Park. Blackburn are 13th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Millwall sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Blackburn's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Sheffield Utd 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Millwall's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Newcastle 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Millwall arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Blackburn and 1.6 for Millwall. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Blackburn 1–1 Millwall. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blackburn37%fair 2.69 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
Millwall39%fair 2.58 · @2.45
3.09Expected goals
1.53Blackburn xG
1.56Millwall xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Blackburn 1.5 – 1.6 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millwall to win✗
39%
2.58
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millwall / FT Millwall✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.78
–
Form
Blackburn – last 6
LLDLLW
8 Sep
vs Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Preston
1–2
L
1 Sep
@ Lincoln
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs QPR
1–2
L
25 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Middlesbrough
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Millwall – last 6
LWLLWW
8 Sep
vs Newcastle
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Bolton
4–0
W
2 Sep
vs Wrexham
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Southampton
1–5
L
25 Aug
@ Cambridge United
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Norwich
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackburn and Millwall.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Blackburn vs Millwall?
On our numbers Blackburn have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Millwall 39%.
How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Millwall?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Millwall?
Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Millwall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Blackburn vs Millwall?
Blackburn vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
